According to Analyst Peter Misek of Jeffries & Co, Android and Android-based tablets simply cannot compete with the iPad. Why? They are too expensive, and offer far too little to the end user.
A 115-page report written by Misek details his entire argument and line of reasoning. He blames Honeycomb for his slicing of 2011 tablet sales from 100 million to just 70 million units.
On the RIM PlayBook and the Motorola XOOM, both which are hyped as iPad alternatives, Misek says that RIM will only have about one percent of the years tablet shipments, while Motorola and the Xoom will claim a whopping two percent, both of which are so behind Apple “because of their dependence on Taiwan for notebooks.”
As for Apple, the iPad maker is projected to have 64 percent of tablet sales this year and around 41 percent in 2012, according to Misek. While PC makers worry about how to catch up with Apple’s iPad, they must also fear increasing cannibalization of their core computer market. Misek didn’t lend any comfort on this front, writing tablets can be used for “production” as well as “consumption” tasks. This means not only will tablets erode the market for videos and gaming, but also writing, emailing, number-crunching and photo-editing.
As a concluding thought to the piece, Misek considers where the future consumer of tablets are likely to be. According to Misek, China, where 80 percent of consumers express interest in buying a tablet device, versus 40% in North America, and 50% in Europe.